The Benefit Of Meeting With Management Teams
We recently just published our new “Top Idea” for the month of July. This stock idea is exclusive only to paying subscribers. We believe this idea has an asymmetric upside to downside ratio and have made it a major position in our portfolio. Get instant access to the research report for only $10 per month. You can cancel anytime.
Meeting With Management Teams
I am typing this from the balcony of a small little beach town with the east coast sun shining on my legs. Cars of tourists slowly drive past. I just came in from the ocean. Caked covered in sticky sand and greasy sunscreen.
The day before I was at a meeting. The first management meeting I have had since COVID-19. Took a day trip to a small southern town to meet with a small company not known to the rest of Wall Street. It was refreshing. To be back on the road. Away from the excel models and annual reports. A face to face meeting with a public company.
Through my career on Wall Street, I have met with countless management teams. Too many to count. Flown into almost every major U.S. airport and all but nine states. If I had to count I have probably toured close to 500 different companies.
That was my dream when I first got into investing. I would read about how all the legendary portfolio managers met with public companies before investing. Peter Lynch was my hero. He would fly all over the country. Get face to face meetings and tour industrial plants. His way to get an edge over the rest of the Street. I sincerely believe Lynch’s key to outperformance was directly because he met with public companies.
The stuff really works. You will gain so much knowledge a computer screen cannot give you. There is no replacement for a management meeting. You can have a 25 page excel sheet. Thousands of pages of notes. Talk with all the sell side researchers you know. But nothing, and I mean nothing, will replace the experience of meeting with the management team and seeing how a company makes money.
Here’s a personal example. A few years back I was interested in buying a company that built hopper cars for trains. I was interested because the company looked significantly undervalued. There was a ton of cash on the balance sheet. The inventories were worth more than the enterprise value. And there wasn’t a cent of debt. A classic net-net that no one gave two damns about.
Despite the squeaky-clean balance sheet, the company had an extremely hard time of turning any profit. I didn’t quite understand it. I spoke with the CFO on the phone multiple times. We walked through the business model, and I still couldn’t figure out why they couldn’t make money building hopper cars. To try to understand the business better I set up a tour of the manufacturing plant.
I flew into a small town in the middle of nowhere. A small industrial town that no one knows exists. My meeting was bright and early in the morning. All I had to eat was stale eggs from a third-rate hotel.
When I got to the manufacturing plant, I realized how massive the operations were. It was so big there were trucks and golf carts you would get on inside to take you from one end to the other. Trains were being built everywhere I looked. Welders and steel. It had to have been a couple miles long of pure industrial manufacturing.
But the size was the problem. The company used to make a significant amount of money when there was demand for coal cars. But ever since the fall of coal industry, the company stopped turning a profit as they were forced to make other cars that were just not as profitable.
In addition, they were leasing a manufacturing facility that had an insane amount of fixed costs including a lease they just couldn’t afford. The lease alone on the facility cost so much that at the current capacity they were running, they were losing more money than they were making. The only way for this company to turn a profit was if they built more train cars but there just wasn’t any demand. It was a problem that just wasn’t going to fix itself.
After that meeting I knew that I wasn’t going to invest in this company. There was just no way they could ever turn a profit with the extremely high fixed cost base they were running. That is unless the demand for train cars started to increase exponentially, which just wasn’t going to happen. And from my top-down macro research, it didn’t appear as if this was going to happen at all. So I never took at stake.
You learn a lot from a company tour. You see the insides of the entire operation. You get to see how management reacts when you ask a tough question. You even get to interact with the lower-level employees to see how they like the work.
Excel models only go so far. My models were not telling me that the fixed costs of running a manufacturing facility were just not economical. Sure, I could have pushed the CFO about the fixed costs on one of my calls with him. But the high fixed cost base didn’t even cross my mind as I couldn’t see the sheer size of the facility from my excel model.
Touring the facility gave me this insight. Not an excel model. Not an annual report. Not even reading the earnings transcripts. A tour of the facility and that is it. That tour gave me the edge I needed. It gave me the information I needed to know. After that tour I knew I wasn’t going to drop any money into this stock and would avoid at all costs. That is until anything dramatically changed on the macro front.
If you are a serious investor, and you buy stocks because you want an ownership interest in that business, the best way to really understand how that business works is by meeting with the management team and touring their operations. There is nothing like it. And if you do enough of these tours, you will get an edge, and become a much better investor.
Make Winning Trades With vigtec
You can't make winning trading or investing decisions without premium analytics and real-time data. Get both with vigtec. Dominate the markets now.
Join thousands of traders and investors from 30+ countries who use vigtec’s premium stock market tools, real-time market data, and data-driven analytics to invest and trade with an unprecedented edge.
Stop guessing and start winning. Download the app for free and get started.
Disclaimer: The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author or paid advertiser.
Alpha Letter is a publisher of financial information, not an investment advisor. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice or information that is tailored to the needs of any particular recipient.
THE INFORMATION CONTAINED ON THIS WEBSITE IS NOT AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE, AND DOES NOT PURPORT TO BE AND DOES NOT EXPRESS ANY OPINION AS TO THE PRICE AT WHICH THE SECURITIES OF ANY COMPANY MAY TRADE AT ANY TIME. THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS PROVIDED HEREIN SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS SPECIFIC ADVICE ON THE MERITS OF ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. INVESTORS SHOULD MAKE THEIR OWN INVESTIGATION AND DECISIONS REGARDING THE PROSPECTS OF ANY COMPANY DISCUSSED HEREIN BASED ON SUCH INVESTORS’ OWN REVIEW OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.
No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned.
Any projections, market outlooks or estimates herein are forward looking statements and are inherently unreliable. They are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events that will occur. Other events that were not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the returns or performance of the securities discussed herein. The information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the publisher undertakes no obligation to correct, update or revise the information in this document or to otherwise provide any additional material.
The publisher, its affiliates, and clients of the a publisher or its affiliates may currently have long or short positions in the securities of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities). To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions.
Neither the publisher nor any of its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein.
By using the Site or any affiliated social media account, you are indicating your consent and agreement to this disclaimer and our terms of use. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by photocopy, facsimile or any other means is illegal and punishable by law.
For Full Terms of Use Click HERE. For the Privacy Policy Click HERE.
alphaletter.co (“Alpha”) is a website owned and operated by Substack. Alpha is paid fees by the companies that make investment offerings on this website. Be aware that payment of these fees may put Alpha in a conflict of interest with the investor. By accessing this website or any page thereof, you agree to be bound by the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, in effect at the time you access this website or any page thereof. The Terms of Use and Privacy Policy may be amended from time to time. Nothing on this website shall constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities to any person in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation is against the law or to anyone to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Alpha is not an underwriter, broker-dealer, Title III crowdfunding portal or a valuation service and does not engage in any activities requiring any such registration. Alpha does not provide advice on investments or structure transactions. Offerings made under Regulation A under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") are available to U.S. investors who are “accredited investors” as defined by Rule 501 of Regulation D under the Securities Act well as non-accredited investors, who are subject to certain investment limitations as set forth in Regulation A under the Securities Act. In order to invest in Regulation A offerings, investors may be asked to fill out a certification and provide necessary documentation as proof of your income and/or net worth to verify that you are qualified to invest in offerings posted on this website. All securities listed on this site are being offered by, and all information included on this site is the responsibility of, the applicable issuer of such securities. Alpha does not verify the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information. Neither Alpha nor any of its officers, directors, agents and employees makes any warranty, express or implied, of any kind whatsoever related to the adequacy, accuracy, valuations of securities or completeness of any information on this site or the use of information on this site. Neither Alpha nor any of its directors, officers, employees, representatives, affiliates or agents shall have any liability whatsoever arising from any error or incompleteness of fact, or lack of care in the preparation of, any of the materials posted on this website. Investing in securities, especially those issued by start-up companies, involves substantial risk. investors should be able to bear the loss of their entire investment and should make their own determination of whether or not to make any investment based on their own independent evaluation and analysis